Capability lane

First-principles physics & decision infrastructure

Thermodynamic boundary modeling, TCO engines, assumptions, and kill criteria.

When the decision is "which material, capex route, or thermal packaging design?" spreadsheets hide physics and rank flips stay invisible. I construct first-principles physics moats (thermodynamic R-value baselines vs. incumbent plastics) and dynamic TCO decision infrastructure with explicit assumptions and sensitivity analysis.

What you get

  • ▸First-principles "physics moats": thermodynamic frameworks and bench-level cold-chain baselines to prove competitive parity
  • ▸Granular TCO calculators and unit-economic engines across complex SKU catalogues
  • ▸Pathway comparison with explicit assumptions (measured vs modeled vs literature bands)
  • ▸Rank stability and sensitivity analysis: identifying exact variables that flip decision outcomes
  • ▸Evidence-value ordering: prioritizing high-impact bench experiments or quotes to close commercial risk

Example work

  • EcoMetrics (TCO Decision Engine)

    Techno-economic & climate intelligence: ground-up Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) calculator and environmental claim validation across 75+ SKUs. dbt pipeline with 105+ data quality tests, DuckDB analytics, Streamlit dashboards — transaction-level margin logic, monthly aggregation models, multi-company architecture.

  • Renw & Silvera Platform

    Industrial platform architecture & operations at enterprise scale: thermodynamic physics moat modeling, unified shipping engine for 1K–100M units, piecewise volume discounts, multi-modal transport, geospatial port detection, EPR integration, 75+ SKU catalogue — production BI with Prometheus/Grafana.

  • KineticCRM

    Agentic AI systems: CRM where autonomous agents manage leads and workflows — multi-strategy error recovery (~85%), graph-based workflow execution, conversation analysis, and 151+ automated tests.

Related

Decision engines (deep dive) →Craton (in development) →

Start a conversation

Selective conversations with founders, operators, and diligence teams. Mention first-principles physics, TCO engines, or pathway diagnostics in your note so we can route quickly.

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